Arizona St.
Pac-12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.3#60
Expected Predictive Rating+10.4#40
Pace79.4#15
Improvement-0.5#199

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#94
First Shot+2.7#90
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#150
Layup/Dunks+3.0#61
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#230
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#178
Freethrows+1.0#102
Improvement+3.0#46

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#50
First Shot+4.3#56
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#84
Layups/Dunks+1.5#113
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#25
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#202
Freethrows+1.4#80
Improvement-3.5#329
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 86.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 86.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.2% n/a n/a
First Round85.0% n/a n/a
Second Round30.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen6.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 33 - 3
Quad 1b2 - 65 - 9
Quad 25 - 210 - 11
Quad 35 - 015 - 11
Quad 45 - 020 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 38   Colorado L 71-81 40%     0 - 1 +0.9 -7.2 +9.7
  Nov 14, 2019 346   Central Connecticut St. W 90-49 99%     1 - 1 +21.9 -2.8 +19.9
  Nov 17, 2019 190   Rider W 92-55 88%     2 - 1 +32.7 +2.6 +24.1
  Nov 23, 2019 63   St. John's W 80-67 50%     3 - 1 +21.2 +7.0 +13.3
  Nov 24, 2019 40   Virginia L 45-48 42%     3 - 2 +7.4 -5.6 +12.3
  Nov 26, 2019 149   @ Princeton W 67-65 65%     4 - 2 +6.3 -0.8 +7.2
  Dec 03, 2019 78   @ San Francisco W 71-67 45%     5 - 2 +13.7 -1.6 +15.0
  Dec 07, 2019 219   Louisiana W 77-65 91%     6 - 2 +5.6 -3.7 +8.8
  Dec 11, 2019 226   Prairie View W 88-79 91%     7 - 2 +2.2 +2.9 -1.9
  Dec 14, 2019 89   Georgia W 79-59 70%     8 - 2 +22.9 -3.9 +24.3
  Dec 18, 2019 43   St. Mary's L 56-96 43%     8 - 3 -29.8 -15.2 -13.7
  Dec 21, 2019 8   Creighton L 60-67 35%     8 - 4 +5.3 -8.6 +13.8
  Dec 28, 2019 291   Texas Southern W 98-81 95%     9 - 4 +6.5 +7.2 -2.7
  Jan 04, 2020 18   @ Arizona L 47-75 21%     9 - 5 0 - 1 -11.3 -19.5 +10.0
  Jan 09, 2020 82   @ Oregon St. W 82-76 46%     10 - 5 1 - 1 +15.4 +6.7 +8.4
  Jan 11, 2020 20   @ Oregon L 69-78 21%     10 - 6 1 - 2 +7.7 +5.7 +1.5
  Jan 16, 2020 38   Colorado L 61-68 52%     10 - 7 1 - 3 +0.9 -8.2 +9.1
  Jan 18, 2020 105   Utah W 83-64 74%     11 - 7 2 - 3 +20.6 +9.4 +11.0
  Jan 25, 2020 18   Arizona W 66-65 41%     12 - 7 3 - 3 +11.7 -5.3 +16.9
  Jan 29, 2020 122   @ Washington St. L 65-67 58%     12 - 8 3 - 4 +4.2 -8.6 +13.0
  Feb 01, 2020 56   @ Washington W 87-83 37%     13 - 8 4 - 4 +15.8 +8.8 +6.4
  Feb 06, 2020 71   UCLA W 84-66 65%     14 - 8 5 - 4 +22.3 +12.5 +9.8
  Feb 08, 2020 53   USC W 66-64 59%     15 - 8 6 - 4 +8.1 -4.8 +12.7
  Feb 13, 2020 50   @ Stanford W 74-69 35%     16 - 8 7 - 4 +17.4 +8.3 +9.0
  Feb 16, 2020 144   @ California W 80-75 65%     17 - 8 8 - 4 +9.5 +11.1 -1.6
  Feb 20, 2020 20   Oregon W 77-72 41%     18 - 8 9 - 4 +15.6 +4.1 +11.4
  Feb 22, 2020 82   Oregon St. W 74-73 68%     19 - 8 10 - 4 +4.4 +6.7 -2.2
  Feb 27, 2020 71   @ UCLA L 72-75 42%     19 - 9 10 - 5 +7.3 +2.6 +4.7
  Feb 29, 2020 53   @ USC L 61-71 36%     19 - 10 10 - 6 +2.1 -3.7 +6.1
  Mar 05, 2020 56   Washington L 83-90 60%     19 - 11 10 - 7 -1.2 +10.6 -11.5
  Mar 07, 2020 122   Washington St. W 83-74 78%     20 - 11 11 - 7 +9.2 -1.1 +8.9
Projected Record 20 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 86.2% 86.2% 9.3 1.0 13.6 36.9 29.4 5.3 0.0 13.8 86.2%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 86.2% 0.0% 86.2% 9.3 1.0 13.6 36.9 29.4 5.3 0.0 13.8 86.2%